Brasileiro
Jan 29, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 61' goal
  • Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo 71' goal
  • Danielzinho 71' goal
  • Cedric Soares 80' yellowcard
  • Cédric Soares 80' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Moura 86' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Tapia 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Plata 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgian De Arrascaeta 56'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 56'
  • yellowcard Giorgian de Arrascaeta 56'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 62'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 62'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 63'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 63'

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Vitoria 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
Mirassol 3 - 3 Flamengo
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Gonzalo Plata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Sao Paulo 37.24% (-1.90)
Draw 27.11% (+0.19)
Flamengo 35.64% (+1.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.91% (-1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.43% (-1.19)
Under 1.5 28.57% (+1.20)
Over 2.5 45.91% (-1.55)
Under 2.5 54.09% (+1.58)
Over 3.5 24.3% (-1.27)
Under 3.5 75.7% (+1.27)
Over 4.5 12.61% (-0.89)
Under 4.5 87.39% (+0.88)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 28.28% (-0.01)
Draw 45.29% (+0.01)
Flamengo 26.43%

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 44.13% (+0.10)
No Goal 8.27% (+0.40)
Flamengo 47.6% (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 15.19% (-42.93)
Equal 8 5.91% (-5.56)
Under 8 78.9% (+48.50)
Over 9 11.19% (-35.21)
Equal 9 4% (-7.73)
Under 9 84.81% (+42.93)
Over 10.5 8.54% (-26.87)
Under 10.5 91.46% (+26.87)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 34.92% (-2.38)
Under 1.5 65.08% (+2.38)
Over 2.5 12.79% (-1.53)
Under 2.5 87.21% (+1.52)
Over 3.5 3.75% (-0.71)
Under 3.5 96.25% (+0.71)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.37% (+0.61)
Under 0.5 31.63% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 33.96% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 66.04% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 12.47% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 87.53% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 3.63% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 96.37% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 37.23%
Draw 27.12%
Flamengo 35.65%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.51% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.40)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.19)
Other @ 3.72% (-0.69)
Total : 37.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.9% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 8.27% (+0.40)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.03)
Total : 27.12%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 9.79% (+0.70)
1-2 @ 8.11% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 6.17% (+0.42)
1-3 @ 3.3% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.43% (+0.27)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.6% (+0.19)
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 6, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 12, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 33' yellowcard
  • Wellington Rato 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 41' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 61' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 61' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 70'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 70'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 74'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 79'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 18, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Fabricio Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 54' goal
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 54' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 3'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 3'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 40'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 40'
  • goal Ferreira 79'
  • goal Ferreira 79'
  • yellowcard Luciano 88'
  • yellowcard Luciano 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 26' goal
  • Luciano 26' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 65'
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 65'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 79'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 79'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Alisson 17' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 25' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 26' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 45'+5' goal
  • Gabriel Neves 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 31'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 44'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 90'+7'