Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Jan 29, 2026 12.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
LIVE Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 61' goal
  • Daniel de Oliveira Sertanejo 71' goal
  • Cedric Soares 80' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Plata 54'
  • yellowcard Giorgian De Arrascaeta 56'
  • yellowcard Jorginho 56'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 63'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 63'

Sao Paulo vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Vitoria 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Luciano

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 9.30pm
Mirassol 3 - 3 Flamengo
Goals scored
1
Top scorer
Gonzalo Plata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Flamengo has a probability of 33.95% and a draw has a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (9.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.78%).

Result

Sao Paulo 39.13% (-0.02)
Draw 26.92% (+0.04)
Flamengo 33.95% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.62% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.38% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 47.45% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 52.52% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.57% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.43% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.49% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.51% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Sao Paulo 28.29% (-0.02)
Draw 45.28% (-0.01)
Flamengo 26.43% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Sao Paulo 44.04% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.87% (+0.01)
Flamengo 48.09%

Corners

Over 8 58.12%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 30.41%
Over 9 46.4%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 41.88%
Over 10.5 35.41%
Under 10.5 64.59%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 1.5 37.3% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 62.7% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.31% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.46% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.54% (+0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 67.77%
Under 0.5 32.23%
Over 1.5 33.47% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 66.53% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.09% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.46%
Under 3.5 96.54%

Score analysis

Sao Paulo 39.13%
Draw 26.92%
Flamengo 33.96%
Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.43% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.41% (-0.01)
Total : 39.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.92%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 9.09% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 5.76%
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 33.96%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 6, 2025 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro
Jul 12, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Wellington Rato 33' yellowcard
  • Wellington Rato 33' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Zubeldia 41' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Calleri 61' goal
  • Jonathan Calleri 61' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 70'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 70'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 74'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 79'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 79'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 18, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 20' goal
  • Fabricio Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 26' yellowcard
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 54' goal
  • Nicolas de la Cruz 54' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 3'
  • yellowcard Igor Vinicius 3'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 40'
  • yellowcard Michel Araujo 40'
  • goal Ferreira 79'
  • goal Ferreira 79'
  • yellowcard Luciano 88'
  • yellowcard Luciano 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Luciano 26' goal
  • Luciano 26' goal
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Pablo 15'
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 65'
  • yellowcard Victor Hugo 65'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 79'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 79'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 24, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
  • Alisson 17' yellowcard
  • Pablo Maia 25' yellowcard
  • Rafinha 26' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 45'+5' goal
  • Gabriel Neves 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 31'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 44'
  • yellowcard Fabricio Bruno 90'+7'