CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 27, 2026 12.30am
2
3
ET Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 37' yellowcard
  • Everton 57' yellowcard
  • Everton 58' yellowcard
  • Pedro 58' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paquetá 64' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 64' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 75' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 85' yellowcard
  • Léo Ortiz 91' yellowcard
  • Léo Ortiz 92' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Castillo 29'
  • yellowcard Matías Sepúlveda 64'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 69'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 70'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 70'
  • yellowcard Felipe Peña Biafore 96'
  • yellowcard Walter Bou 96'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Pérez 106'
  • goal José Canale 118'
  • goal Dylan Aquino 120'+2'

Flamengo vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
CONMEBOL Recopa
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
Lanus 1 - 0 Flamengo

Lanus

All competitions
CONMEBOL Recopa
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
Lanus 1 - 0 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.64% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.08%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.95%) , while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 66.13% (-1.30)
Draw 22.64% (+0.52)
Lanus 11.23% (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.91% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.52% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 32.48% (+0.34)
Over 2.5 41.28% (-0.97)
Under 2.5 58.72% (+1.01)
Over 3.5 21.23% (-0.70)
Under 3.5 78.77% (+0.69)
Over 4.5 13.27% (-0.73)
Under 4.5 86.73% (+0.72)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 45.9% (-0.92)
Draw 39.99% (+0.83)
Lanus 14.11% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 66.48% (-0.80)
No Goal 9.95% (+0.25)
Lanus 23.57% (+0.56)

Corners

Over 8 54.18% (+0.86)
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.07)
Under 8 34.58% (-0.93)
Over 9 43.04% (+0.73)
Equal 9 11.14% (+0.14)
Under 9 45.82% (-0.86)
Over 10.5 32.85% (+0.57)
Under 10.5 67.15% (-0.56)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 52.27% (-1.14)
Under 1.5 47.73% (+1.14)
Over 2.5 25.38% (-1.17)
Under 2.5 74.62% (+1.17)
Over 3.5 10.18% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 89.82% (+0.75)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 39.23% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 60.77% (-0.98)
Over 1.5 10.87% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 89.13% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 2.34% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 97.66% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.5% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 66.12%
Draw 22.65%
Lanus 11.24%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 17.44% (-0.24)
2-0 @ 15.08% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 8.24% (-0.38)
3-1 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.07% (-0.71)
Total : 66.12%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.95% (+0.25)
1-1 @ 9.71% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.04)
Total : 22.65%
Lanus
0-1 @ 5.1% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 2.82% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 1.45% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.39% (+0.04)
Total : 11.24%

Head to Head

CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
  • Matías Sepúlveda 66' yellowcard
  • Dylan Aquino 66' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 77' goal
  • Felipe Peña Biafore 82' yellowcard
  • Walter Bou 88' yellowcard
  • Franco Watson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 77'