CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 27, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Lanus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
CONMEBOL Recopa
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
Lanus 1 - 0 Flamengo

Lanus

All competitions
CONMEBOL Recopa
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
Lanus 1 - 0 Flamengo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw has a probability of 22.12% and a win for Lanus has a probability of 10.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.76%) , while for a Lanus win it is 0-1 (4.75%).

Result

Flamengo 67.49% (+3.11)
Draw 22.12% (-1.33)
Lanus 10.39% (-1.81)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.69% (-2.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.71% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 32.29% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 42.15% (+0.56)
Under 2.5 57.81% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 21.82% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 78.18% (-0.62)
Over 4.5 13.94% (+0.75)
Under 4.5 86.06% (-0.74)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 46.81% (+1.88)
Draw 39.17% (-0.94)
Lanus 14.02% (-0.93)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 67.24% (+2.62)
No Goal 9.76% (-0.17)
Lanus 23% (-2.45)

Corners

Over 8 53.32% (-0.97)
Equal 8 11.18% (-0.22)
Under 8 35.5% (+1.18)
Over 9 42.31% (-0.67)
Equal 9 11.01% (-0.30)
Under 9 46.68% (+0.97)
Over 10.5 32.29% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 67.71% (+0.37)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 53.34% (+2.35)
Under 1.5 46.66% (-2.35)
Over 2.5 26.5% (+1.88)
Under 2.5 73.5% (-1.88)
Over 3.5 10.91% (+1.00)
Under 3.5 89.09% (-0.99)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5 38.06% (-2.97)
Under 0.5 61.94% (+2.97)
Over 1.5 10.41% (-1.57)
Under 1.5 89.59% (+1.57)
Over 2.5 2.28% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 97.72% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 0.51% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 99.49% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Flamengo 67.49%
Draw 22.12%
Lanus 10.39%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 17.78% (+0.55)
2-0 @ 15% (+0.90)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 8.64% (+0.76)
3-1 @ 4.84% (+0.21)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.08)
Other @ 10.76% (+0.92)
Total : 67.49%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.76% (-0.17)
1-1 @ 9.29% (-1.00)
2-2 @ 2.51% (-0.23)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.07)
Total : 22.12%
Lanus
0-1 @ 4.75% (-0.49)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.50)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.37)
Other @ 0.36% (-0.11)
Total : 10.39%

Head to Head

CONMEBOL Recopa
Feb 20, 2026 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
  • Matías Sepúlveda 66' yellowcard
  • Dylan Aquino 66' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 77' goal
  • Felipe Peña Biafore 82' yellowcard
  • Walter Bou 88' yellowcard
  • Franco Watson 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Samuel Lino 58'
  • yellowcard Nicolás de la Cruz 77'