Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.46% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (7.62%).