Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.35% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.1%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.