Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 41.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.24% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 28.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.