Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 30.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.