Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.74% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.34%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood.