Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 24.06% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.18%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.82%) , while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.