Copa Libertadores Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus vs LDU Quito - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 16, 2026 11.00pm
Lanus 1 - 0 Always Ready

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 3.00am
LDU Quito 2 - 0 Mirassol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lanus win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw has a probability of 26.6% and a win for LDU Quito has a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.72%) , while for a LDU Quito win it is 0-1 (8.83%).

Result

Lanus 49.69% (+0.47)
Draw 26.6% (-0.21)
LDU Quito 23.71% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.51% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.73% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 32.27% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 41.53% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 58.47% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 20.16% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 79.84% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 10.74% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 89.26% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Lanus 36.09% (+0.61)
Draw 45.14% (+0.22)
LDU Quito 18.78% (-0.81)

Team To Score First

Lanus 56.85% (+0.90)
No Goal 9.53% (+0.07)
LDU Quito 33.62% (-0.98)

Corners

Over 8 49.07% (-0.34)
Equal 8 11.96% (-0.23)
Under 8 38.98% (+0.58)
Over 9 37.68% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.38% (-0.26)
Under 9 50.93% (+0.34)
Over 10.5 27.71% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 72.29% (-0.15)

Lanus Goals

Over 1.5 41.3% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 58.7% (-0.33)
Over 2.5 17.26% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 82.74% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 5.73% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 94.27% (-0.04)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 56.16% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 43.84% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 21.28% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 78.72% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 5.8% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.2% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.26% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.74% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Lanus 49.69%
Draw 26.62%
LDU Quito 23.71%
Lanus
1-0 @ 13.93% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 9.82% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 4.86% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.13)
Other @ 5.72% (+0.03)
Total : 49.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.29)
0-0 @ 9.53% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.8% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.62%
LDU Quito
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.21)
1-2 @ 6.01% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.20)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.25% (-0.07)
Total : 23.71%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Aug 22, 2024 1.30am
3
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
  • Walter Bou 9' goal
  • Walter Bou 9' goal
  • Dylan Aquino 33' yellowcard
  • Dylan Aquino 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Morgantini 73' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Morgantini 73' yellowcard
  • Carlos Izquierdoz 78' goal
  • Carlos Izquierdoz 78' goal
  • Lautaro Acosta 89' goal
  • Lautaro Acosta 89' goal
  • goal Alex Arce 37'
  • goal Alex Arce 37'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piovi 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Piovi 77'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 81'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Julio 81'
  • yellowcard Luis Estupinan 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Luis Estupinan 90'+3'
Copa Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
  • Alex Arce 14' goal
  • Alex Arce 14' goal
  • Lucas Piovi 19' yellowcard
  • Lucas Piovi 19' yellowcard
  • Freddy Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Freddy Mina 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Gonzalo Perez 23'
  • goal Gonzalo Perez 23'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 45'+1'
  • goal Marcelino Moreno 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 64'
  • yellowcard Dylan Aquino 64'