Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Always Ready had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest Always Ready win was 0-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.