Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Always Ready win with a probability of 74.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.43% and a win for Real Garcilaso had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Always Ready win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 3-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.93%) , while for a Real Garcilaso win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.