Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.86%) , while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.