Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Instituto
Mar 17, 2026 1.15am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
Independiente
  • Alex Luna 14' goal
  • Giuliano Cerato 34' goal
  • Matías Fonseca 58' yellowcard
  • Luca Rafaelli 66' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Méndez 80' yellowcard
  • Nicolás Guerra 80' yellowcard
  • Jonatan Galván 81' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Abaldo 13'
  • yellowcard Milton Valenzuela 21'
  • yellowcard Luciano Cabral 58'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 75'
  • yellowcard Facundo Samuel Valdez 75'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Godoy 76'
  • yellowcard Facundo Samuel Valdez 76'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Gutiérrez 76'

Instituto vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 12, 2026 10.15pm
Talleres 2 - 0 Instituto
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Alex Luna

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 10.45pm
Independiente 4 - 4 Union
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (11.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Instituto 32.18% ▲ (+0.20)
Draw 30.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Independiente 37.22% ▼ (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.29% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 36.02% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 2.5 63.98% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 16.57% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 3.5 83.43% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 7.77% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 92.23% ▼ (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Instituto 26.02% ▲ (+0.47)
Draw 46.7% ▼ (-0.46)
Independiente 27.28% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Instituto 42.18% ▼ (-0.47)
No Goal 12.11%
Independiente 45.71% ▲ (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 43.48% ▲ (+0.59)
Equal 8 12.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 43.99% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 9 32.09% ▲ (+0.54)
Equal 9 11.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 9 56.52% ▼ (-0.59)
Over 10.5 22.58% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 10.5 77.42% ▼ (-0.46)

Instituto Goals

Over 1.5 26.26% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 1.5 73.74% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 2.5 7.92% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 92.08% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 1.95% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 98.05% ▼ (-0.16)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 66.05% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 33.95% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 30.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.02% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 89.98% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.73% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 97.27% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Instituto 32.18%
Draw 30.59%
Independiente 37.21%
Instituto
1-0 @ 11.91% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 32.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.88% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 12.11%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 30.59%
Independiente
0-1 @ 13.01% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 37.21%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Instituto
Aug 30, 2025 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Independiente
Feb 22, 2025 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Instituto
  • Luciano Cabral 10' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 16' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 53' goal
  • Federico Mancuello 71' goal
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 80' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 6'
  • yellowcard Alex Luna 13'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 45'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Requena 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Manuel Roffo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jonas Acevedo 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Instituto
Jul 19, 2024 1.00am
3
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Independiente
  • Ignacio Russo 3' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 3' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 10' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 10' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Manuel Roffo 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Roffo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • goal Alex Luna 15'
  • goal Alex Luna 15'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 54'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 90'+1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Instituto
Feb 18, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Independiente
  • Roberto Bochi 39' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Russo 52' yellowcard
  • Juan Franco 63' yellowcard
  • Stefano Moreyra 68' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Cerato 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 17'
  • goal Gabriel Neves 26'
  • goal Lucas Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isla 37'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 64'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Independiente
Sep 24, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
Instituto
  • Alexis Canelo 25' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Corda 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Gaston Lodico 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 54'
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 60'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Independiente
Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Instituto
  • Martin Cauteruccio 15' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 32' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 38'
  • goal Nicolas Linares 66'

Form Data

Talleres 2 - 0 Instituto
Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0 - 0 Instituto
Instituto 1 - 2 Union
San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Instituto
Instituto 2 - 1 Tucuman
Instituto 2 - 0 C. Cordoba
Independiente 4 - 4 Union
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 0 C. Cordoba
Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 1 Independiente
Independiente Rivadavia 3 - 2 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 0 Lanus