Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 17, 2026 1.15am
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón

Instituto vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.00pm
Estudiantes Río Cuarto 0 - 0 Instituto
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Matias Fonseca

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 10, 2026 10.45pm
Independiente 4 - 4 Union
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Independiente win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Instituto has a probability of 31.93% and a draw has a probability of 30.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Instituto win is 1-0 (11.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (14.03%).

Result

Instituto 31.93%
Draw 30.59%
Independiente 37.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

44.27%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.96%
Under 1.5 37.04%
Over 2.5 35.83%
Under 2.5 64.17%
Over 3.5 16.23%
Under 3.5 83.77%
Over 4.5 7.46%
Under 4.5 92.54%

First Half Winner

Instituto 25.54%
Draw 47.3%
Independiente 27.16%

Team To Score First

Instituto 42.63%
No Goal 12.09%
Independiente 45.28%

Corners

Over 8 42.92%
Equal 8 12.48%
Under 8 44.59%
Over 9 31.61%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 57.08%
Over 10.5 22.2%
Under 10.5 77.8%

Instituto Goals

Over 1.5 25.93%
Under 1.5 74.07%
Over 2.5 7.59%
Under 2.5 92.41%
Over 3.5 1.78%
Under 3.5 98.22%

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 66.3%
Under 0.5 33.7%
Over 1.5 30.07%
Under 1.5 69.93%
Over 2.5 9.89%
Under 2.5 90.11%
Over 3.5 2.62%
Under 3.5 97.38%

Score analysis

Instituto 31.92%
Draw 30.61%
Independiente 37.47%
Instituto
1-0 @ 11.88%
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 5.95%
3-1 @ 2.13%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 31.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.03%
0-0 @ 12.09%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.61%
Independiente
0-1 @ 13.07%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 7.15%
0-3 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.47%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 30, 2025 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Feb 22, 2025 9.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Luciano Cabral 10' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 16' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 53' goal
  • Federico Mancuello 71' goal
  • Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 80' yellowcard
  • Santiago Hidalgo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 6'
  • yellowcard Alex Luna 13'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 45'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Requena 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Manuel Roffo 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Jonas Acevedo 90'+6'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2024 1.00am
3
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Ignacio Russo 3' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 3' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 10' goal
  • Ignacio Russo 10' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 22' goal
  • Manuel Roffo 84' yellowcard
  • Manuel Roffo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 12'
  • goal Alex Luna 15'
  • goal Alex Luna 15'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 54'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 54'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Lucas Gonzalez 90'+1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Feb 18, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Roberto Bochi 39' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Russo 52' yellowcard
  • Juan Franco 63' yellowcard
  • Stefano Moreyra 68' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Cerato 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 17'
  • goal Gabriel Neves 26'
  • goal Lucas Gonzalez 32'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isla 37'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 64'
  • yellowcard Alexis Canelo 85'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Alexis Canelo 25' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Rey 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Corda 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Gaston Lodico 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Fernando Alarcon 54'
  • yellowcard Juan Franco 60'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Mar 5, 2023 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
  • Martin Cauteruccio 15' goal
  • Martin Cauteruccio 32' goal
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 38'
  • goal Nicolas Linares 66'