Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 1, 2026 10.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Perón
  • Luca Rafaelli 28' yellowcard
  • Franco Jara 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Rafaelli 48' goal
  • Nicolás Guerra 66' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Abregú  66' yellowcard
  • Jeremías Lázaro 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Valentín Fascendini 22'
  • goal Cristian Tarragona 43'
  • goal Mateo Del Blanco 55'
  • yellowcard Augusto Solari 66'
  • yellowcard Bruno Pittón 76'

Instituto vs Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 10.15pm
San Lorenzo 1 - 1 Instituto
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Matias Fonseca

Union

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 26, 2026 8.15pm
Sarmiento 1 - 3 Union
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Cristian Tarragona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Union had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (9.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Instituto 39.53% (-0.18)
Draw 29.88% (-0.02)
Union 30.56% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.39% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.3% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 33.7% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 40.58% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 59.42% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 20.82% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 79.18% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 10.62% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.38% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Instituto 27.62% (+0.05)
Draw 48.7%
Union 23.68% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Instituto 46.94% (-0.04)
No Goal 10.9% (-0.03)
Union 42.16% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 47.86% (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.37%
Under 8 39.77% (-0.15)
Over 9 36.2% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.01)
Under 9 52.14% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 26.12% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 73.88% (-0.13)

Instituto Goals

Over 1.5 34.01% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 65.99% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 12.22% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 87.78% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 3.7% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.3% (+0.04)

Union Goals

Over 0.5 62.69% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 37.31% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 28.06% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.94% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.41% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.59% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.64% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.36% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Instituto 39.53%
Draw 29.88%
Union 30.55%
Instituto
1-0 @ 12.82%
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.59% (-0.04)
Total : 39.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.9% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 29.88%
Union
0-1 @ 9.94% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.13% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.53% (+0.03)
Total : 30.55%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 15, 2025 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 5
Feb 14, 2025 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Franco Pardo 45'+7' redcard
  • Franco Pardo 45'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Francis Mac Allister 29'
  • yellowcard Francis Mac Allister 29'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
May 19, 2024 12.30am
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • Santiago Rodriguez 41' goal
  • Santiago Rodriguez 41' goal
  • Jonas Acevedo 45'+2' redcard
  • Jonas Acevedo 45'+2' redcard
  • goal Nicolas Orsini 33'
  • goal Nicolas Orsini 33'
  • yellowcard Mauro Pitton 58'
  • yellowcard Mauro Pitton 58'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 2
Feb 6, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 42'
  • goal Gabriel Graciani 45'