Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Instituto win with a probability of 42.07%. A draw has a probability of 30.1% and a win for Union has a probability of 27.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.41%) , while for a Union win it is 0-1 (10.01%).