Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 55.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.48% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.3% likelihood.