Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.98% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%) , while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.