Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Estudiantes Río Cuarto had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 29.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Estudiantes Río Cuarto win was 1-0 (10.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.