Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Instituto win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Defensa y Justicia has a probability of 33.93% and a draw has a probability of 29.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win is 0-1 (10.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.62%).