Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.59%. A draw had a probability of 31.65% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 29.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.95%) , while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (11.6%).