Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 52.07%. A draw had a probability of 29.09% and a win for Estudiantes Río Cuarto had a probability of 18.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.93%) , while for a Estudiantes Río Cuarto win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.