Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
May 4, 2026 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Luciano Cingolani 18' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Muñoz 30' goal
  • Julián Ceballos 46' yellowcard
  • Agustín Módica 62' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Carrera 63' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Sabatini 72' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cingolani 73' goal
  • goal Ayrton Portillo 12'
  • yellowcard Damián Fernández 46'
  • yellowcard Luciano González 60'
  • yellowcard Agustín Hausch 60'
  • yellowcard Éver Banega 71'
  • yellowcard David Barbona 72'

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 12.00am
Defensa 0 - 4 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Juan Gutierrez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 40.92% (-0.73)
Draw 28.01% (-0.29)
Defensa y Justicia 31.07% (+1.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.97% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.15% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 30.85% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 44.59% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 55.41% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 24.61% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 75.39% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 13.72% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 86.28% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 27.56% (-1.86)
Draw 51.41% (+1.38)
Defensa y Justicia 21.03% (+0.48)

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 51.04% (-0.56)
No Goal 9.35% (-0.22)
Defensa y Justicia 39.61% (+0.76)

Corners

Over 8 46.95% (-2.15)
Equal 8 12.71% (-0.12)
Under 8 40.35% (+2.29)
Over 9 35.05% (-1.84)
Equal 9 11.89% (-0.34)
Under 9 53.05% (+2.15)
Over 10.5 24.87% (-1.40)
Under 10.5 75.13% (+1.40)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 36.81% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 63.19% (+0.47)
Over 2.5 14.64% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 85.36% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 5.06% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.94% (+0.04)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 63.86% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 36.14% (-0.90)
Over 1.5 29.77% (+0.75)
Under 1.5 70.23% (-0.75)
Over 2.5 11.11% (+0.35)
Under 2.5 88.89% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 3.6% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 96.4% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 40.92%
Draw 28.01%
Defensa y Justicia 31.08%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.42% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.34)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.88% (-0.03)
Total : 40.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 4.73% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.18% (-0.02)
Total : 28.01%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 9.46% (+0.33)
1-2 @ 6.91% (+0.18)
0-2 @ 4.81% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.42% (+0.11)
Total : 31.08%