Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 5, 2026 9.30pm
Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 1.00am
Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 8.00pm
Platense 0 - 0 Defensa
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Ruben Botta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 35.51%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 35.51%
Draw 30.89%
Defensa y Justicia 33.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 63%
Under 1.5 37%
Over 2.5 36.33%
Under 2.5 63.64%
Over 3.5 17.38%
Under 3.5 82.62%
Over 4.5 8.38%
Under 4.5 91.62%

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 28.52%
Draw 51.41%
Defensa y Justicia 20.07%

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 50.48%
No Goal 12.36%
Defensa y Justicia 37.16%

Corners

Over 8 50.36%
Equal 8 12.88%
Under 8 36.76%
Over 9 37.98%
Equal 9 12.38%
Under 9 49.64%
Over 10.5 27.15%
Under 10.5 72.85%

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 28.78%
Under 1.5 71.22%
Over 2.5 8.94%
Under 2.5 91.06%
Over 3.5 2.36%
Under 3.5 97.64%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 63.47%
Under 0.5 36.53%
Over 1.5 27.92%
Under 1.5 72.08%
Over 2.5 9.56%
Under 2.5 90.44%
Over 3.5 2.73%
Under 3.5 97.27%

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 35.51%
Draw 30.89%
Defensa y Justicia 33.6%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 7.56%
2-0 @ 6.81%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.22%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 35.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.84%
0-0 @ 12.36%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 30.89%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 7.01%
0-2 @ 6.03%
1-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.6%