Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 35.51%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 30.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.