Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 5, 2026 9.30pm
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte

Gimnasia Mendoza vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 8.45pm
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 12.30am
Defensa 1 - 1 Lanus
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Juan Gutierrez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 31.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Gimnasia Mendoza 36.16%
Draw 31.01%
Defensa y Justicia 32.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.27% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 37.73% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 35.74%
Under 2.5 64.26%
Over 3.5 16.73%
Under 3.5 83.27%
Over 4.5 8.02% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.98% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Gimnasia Mendoza 29.36%
Draw 49.76%
Defensa y Justicia 20.87%

Team To Score First

Gimnasia Mendoza 50.75%
No Goal 12.67%
Defensa y Justicia 36.58%

Corners

Over 8 49.61%
Equal 8 12.51% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.88% (-0.01)
Over 9 37.65%
Equal 9 11.96%
Under 9 50.39%
Over 10.5 27.19%
Under 10.5 72.81%

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 1.5 28.81%
Under 1.5 71.19%
Over 2.5 9.07%
Under 2.5 90.93%
Over 3.5 2.42%
Under 3.5 97.58%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 62.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 37.67% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.94% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.06% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.06% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 90.94% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.54% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.46% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Gimnasia Mendoza 36.14%
Draw 31%
Defensa y Justicia 32.79%
Gimnasia Mendoza
1-0 @ 13.27%
2-1 @ 7.54%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 36.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.73%
0-0 @ 12.67%
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 31%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 6.83%
0-2 @ 5.87%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.42% (-0.02)
Total : 32.79%