Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 31.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Defensa y Justicia win was 0-1 (11.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.