Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 34.86%. A draw had a probability of 32.63% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 32.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.21%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.46%) , while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.