Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 29.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.