Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.