Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.09% and a win for Union had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%) , while for a Union win it was 0-1 (8.05%).