Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.9%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 26.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%) , while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.