Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
Apr 27, 2026 10.45pm
Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield vs Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 20, 2026 11.30pm
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Union

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 12.30am
Union 2 - 3 Newell's OB
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Cristian Tarragona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw has a probability of 27.01% and a win for Union has a probability of 25.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.51%) , while for a Union win it is 0-1 (8.81%).

Result

Velez Sarsfield 47.6% (+0.04)
Draw 27.01% (-0.04)
Union 25.38% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.04% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 31.96% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 42.36% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 57.64% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 22.43% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 77.57% (-0.14)
Over 4.5 12.15% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 87.85% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 31.28%
Draw 48.07%
Union 20.65%

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 51.31% (+0.03)
No Goal 9.85% (-0.04)
Union 38.84% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.56%
Equal 8 12.49%
Under 8 38.95%
Over 9 36.72%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 51.44%
Over 10.5 26.44%
Under 10.5 73.56%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 40.54% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 59.46% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 16.85% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 83.15% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 6.06% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 93.94% (-0.08)

Union Goals

Over 0.5 57.96% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 42.04% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 23.35% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 76.65% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 7.14% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 92.86% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.79% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.21% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 47.6%
Draw 27.02%
Union 25.38%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.05% (+0.07)
Total : 47.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.02%
Union
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Total : 25.38%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 26
Dec 7, 2024 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Elias Gomez 54' goal
  • Lionel Verde 72' yellowcard
  • Valentin Demian Fascendini 86' yellowcard
  • Mauro Pitton 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Quinteros 10'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Mammana 26'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 26
Jul 24, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • Jose Florentin 11' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Mendez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Paz 5'
  • yellowcard Mateo Del Blanco 72'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Aug 6, 2022 10.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Juan Carlos Portillo 7' yellowcard
  • Lucas Esquivel 54' yellowcard
  • Bryan Castrillon 77' goal
  • Juan Ignacio Nardoni 86' yellowcard
  • Junior Marabel 88' goal
  • Enzo Roldan 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Florentin 8'
  • yellowcard Agustin Mulet 16'
  • yellowcard Julian Fernandez 29'
  • yellowcard Damian Fernandez 63'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Burian 70'
  • yellowcard Abiel Osorio 82'
  • yellowcard Santiago Caseres 90'
Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 7, 2021 12.15am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lautaro Gianetti 22' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 54' goal
  • Juan Martin Lucero 56' goal
  • Federico Mancuello 61' yellowcard
  • Francisco Ortega 63' yellowcard
  • Lucas Janson 76' goal
  • Ricardo Centurion 87' goal
  • redcard Franco Calderon 83'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Mar 9, 2020 10.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio 15 de Abril
  • Franco Calderon 28' yellowcard
  • Federico Milo 52' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Bonifacio 71' yellowcard
  • Brian Blasi 78' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Janson 21'
  • goal Lucas Robertone 23'
  • yellowcard Francisco Ortega 33'
  • yellowcard Luis Abram 36'
  • goal Maximiliano Romero 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2018 8.10pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio 15 de Abril (Ciudad de Santa Fe, Provincia de Santa Fe)
  • Damian Martinez 18' yellowcard
  • Yeimar Gomez 59' yellowcard
  • Nereo Fernandez 79' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Gomez 88' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Bottinelli 91' yellowcard
  • goal Nicolas Dominguez 12'
  • yellowcard Thiago Almada 47'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 56'
  • goal Lucas Robertone 81'