Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Apr 20, 2026 11.30pm
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 7.00pm
Newell's OB 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Alexis Cuello

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 C. Cordoba
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Velez Sarsfield has a probability of 31.35% and a draw has a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win is 0-1 (11.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.31%).

Result

San Lorenzo 38.85% (+2.47)
Draw 29.8% (-0.74)
Velez Sarsfield 31.35% (-1.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.57% (-2.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.26% (-1.86)
Under 1.5 38.74% (+1.86)
Over 2.5 34.72% (-1.46)
Under 2.5 65.28% (+1.46)
Over 3.5 15.53% (-1.17)
Under 3.5 84.47% (+1.18)
Over 4.5 7.24% (-0.50)
Under 4.5 92.76% (+0.50)

First Half Winner

San Lorenzo 29.57% (+0.77)
Draw 47.96% (+0.39)
Velez Sarsfield 22.48% (-1.15)

Team To Score First

San Lorenzo 47.31% (-0.05)
No Goal 12.88% (+0.82)
Velez Sarsfield 39.81% (-0.76)

Corners

Over 8 50.19% (-1.65)
Equal 8 12.99% (+0.26)
Under 8 36.82% (+1.39)
Over 9 37.71% (-1.73)
Equal 9 12.48% (+0.09)
Under 9 49.81% (+1.65)
Over 10.5 26.82% (-1.63)
Under 10.5 73.18% (+1.63)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 1.5 29.43% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 70.57% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 9.67% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 90.33% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 2.47% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 97.53% (-0.16)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 60.33% (-2.86)
Under 0.5 39.67% (+2.86)
Over 1.5 24.88% (-2.41)
Under 1.5 75.12% (+2.42)
Over 2.5 7.25% (-1.37)
Under 2.5 92.75% (+1.38)
Over 3.5 1.81% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 98.19% (+0.41)

Score analysis

San Lorenzo 38.87%
Draw 29.8%
Velez Sarsfield 31.34%
San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.25% (+1.17)
2-1 @ 7.79% (+0.14)
2-0 @ 7.39% (+0.43)
3-1 @ 2.73% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 2.7% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 1.55% (+0.17)
Other @ 2.46% (+0.17)
Total : 38.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31% (-0.60)
0-0 @ 12.88% (+0.82)
2-2 @ 3.38% (-0.63)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.02)
Total : 29.8%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 11.62% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.35)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.23)
1-3 @ 2.2% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.33)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.11)
Other @ 1.8% (-0.39)
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Aug 7, 2025 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Feb 8, 2025 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • Aaron Quiroz 37' yellowcard
  • Christian Ordonez 59' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elian Irala 21'
  • yellowcard Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Andres Vombergar 60'
  • yellowcard Jaime Andres Peralta Gonzalez 90'+1'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Sep 14, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Elias de Jesus Baez Sotelo 22' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Bustos 56' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Romero 4'
  • yellowcard Thiago Fernandez 36'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 66'
  • yellowcard Joaquin Garcia 69'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Apr 29, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 24
Oct 8, 2022 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nestor Ortigoza 90'+11' goal
Copa Diego Maradona
Nov 7, 2021 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Lucas Janson 2' goal
  • Lucas Janson 29' goal
  • Geronimo Poblete 34' yellowcard
  • Juan Martin Lucero 38' yellowcard
  • Matias de los Santos 60' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hoyos 68' yellowcard
  • Federico Mancuello 87' yellowcard
  • Santiago Caseres 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Luca Orellano 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Ortega 17' (OG)
  • yellowcard Cristian Zapata 39'
  • yellowcard Franco Di Santo 68'
  • yellowcard Francisco Flores 69'
  • yellowcard Yeison Gordillo 72'
  • yellowcard Nestor Ortigoza 90'+1'