Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 35.21%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (12.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.