Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 37.08%. A draw had a probability of 31.66% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 31.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.29%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.03%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 1-0 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.