Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 42.92%. A draw had a probability of 32.33% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.75%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood.