Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Riestra win with a probability of 38.79%. A draw had a probability of 34.87% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Riestra win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 2-1 (6.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (18.48%) , while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.