Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
May 2, 2026 10.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
  • Juan Rattalino 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Barrios 46' yellowcard
  • Ezequiel Herrera 72' goal
  • Agustín Ladstatter 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Herazo 81' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Abaldo 16'
  • goal Maximiliano Gutiérrez 54'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 65'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Millán 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Freire 80'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 80'
  • yellowcard Felipe Tempone 89'

San Lorenzo vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 1.30am
Platense 0 - 1 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
14
Top scorer
Alexis Cuello

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 9.00pm
Deportivo Riestra 2 - 0 Independiente
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 40.97%. A draw had a probability of 30.37% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 28.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.83%) , while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

San Lorenzo 40.97% (+0.18)
Draw 30.37% (-0.11)
Independiente 28.62% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.3% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.92% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 40.08% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 32.55% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 67.45% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 14.05% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 85.95% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 6.51% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 93.49% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

San Lorenzo 27.63% (-0.08)
Draw 49.19% (-0.04)
Independiente 23.18% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

San Lorenzo 46.84% (-0.29)
No Goal 13.24% (-0.17)
Independiente 39.92% (+0.47)

Corners

Over 8 45.47% (+0.18)
Equal 8 12.74% (+0.05)
Under 8 41.79% (-0.22)
Over 9 33.7% (+0.14)
Equal 9 11.77% (+0.05)
Under 9 54.53% (-0.18)
Over 10.5 23.75% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 76.25% (-0.08)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 1.5 30.16% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 69.84% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 9.81% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 90.19% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 2.59% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 97.41% (-0.05)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 57.54% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 42.46% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 21.63% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 78.37% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 5.81% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.35% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.65% (-0.02)

Score analysis

San Lorenzo 40.97%
Draw 30.38%
Independiente 28.63%
San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 15.21% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.37% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.78% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.69% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (+0.06)
Total : 40.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.83%
0-0 @ 13.24% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.38%
Independiente
0-1 @ 11.61% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.25% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.34% (+0.03)
Total : 28.63%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 21, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Andres Vombergar 22' goal
  • Jaime Andres Peralta Gonzalez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Lautaro Millan 12'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 53'
  • yellowcard Felipe Loyola 73'
  • goal Felipe Loyola 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 11.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Alex Luna 17' redcard
  • Ivan Marcone 23' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 43' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gonzalez 53' yellowcard
  • David Martinez 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Cuello 48'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 67'
  • yellowcard Gaston Campi 89'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jun 4, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
  • Adam Bareiro 58' goal
  • Siro Rosane 85' redcard
  • Federico Gattoni 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Geronimo Poblete 35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 35'
  • goal Leandro Benegas 45'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Dec 5, 2021 10.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alan Sonora 41' yellowcard
  • Silvio Romero 47' goal
  • Sebastian Sosa 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Zapata 31'
  • yellowcard Francisco Flores 37'
  • yellowcard Gino Peruzzi 65'
  • goal Nestor Ortigoza 72'
  • redcard Francisco Flores 76'
  • yellowcard Yeison Gordillo 87'