Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 7, 2026 10.15pm
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 1.15am
Talleres 0 - 0 San Lorenzo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Alexis Cuello

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 11.00pm
Independiente 2 - 0 C. Cordoba
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 32.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.98%) and 2-1 (6.96%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (13.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (14.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.

Result

San Lorenzo 35.07% (-0.07)
Draw 32.11% (+0.04)
Independiente 32.79% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.4% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 58.81% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 41.19% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 31.4% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 68.6% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 13.5% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 86.5% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 6.01% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 93.99% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

San Lorenzo 24.07%
Draw 48.86%
Independiente 27.07%

Team To Score First

San Lorenzo 40.42% (-0.02)
No Goal 14.18% (+0.04)
Independiente 45.4% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 45.87%
Equal 8 12.54%
Under 8 41.59%
Over 9 34.24%
Equal 9 11.63%
Under 9 54.13%
Over 10.5 24.34%
Under 10.5 75.66%

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 1.5 25.95% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 74.05% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 7.56% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.44% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 1.85% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.15% (+0.03)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 60.8% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.2% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 24.4% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.6% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.24% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.76% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.75%
Under 3.5 98.25%

Score analysis

San Lorenzo 35.07%
Draw 32.12%
Independiente 32.79%
San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 13.9%
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.84% (-0.03)
Total : 35.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 14.25% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 14.18% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 32.12%
Independiente
0-1 @ 13.09% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 6.16% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.79%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Sep 21, 2025 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 8, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegain
  • Andres Vombergar 22' goal
  • Jaime Andres Peralta Gonzalez 86' yellowcard
  • goal Giovanni Lautaro Millan 12'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 53'
  • yellowcard Felipe Loyola 73'
  • goal Felipe Loyola 74'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 11.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
  • Alex Luna 17' redcard
  • Ivan Marcone 23' yellowcard
  • Damian Perez 43' yellowcard
  • Lucas Gonzalez 53' yellowcard
  • David Martinez 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Cuello 48'
  • yellowcard Eric Remedi 67'
  • yellowcard Gaston Campi 89'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Apr 1, 2023 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 1
Jun 4, 2022 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
  • Adam Bareiro 58' goal
  • Siro Rosane 85' redcard
  • Federico Gattoni 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Geronimo Poblete 35'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 35'
  • goal Leandro Benegas 45'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Dec 5, 2021 10.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alan Sonora 41' yellowcard
  • Silvio Romero 47' goal
  • Sebastian Sosa 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Zapata 31'
  • yellowcard Francisco Flores 37'
  • yellowcard Gino Peruzzi 65'
  • goal Nestor Ortigoza 72'
  • redcard Francisco Flores 76'
  • yellowcard Yeison Gordillo 87'