Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 15
Independiente
Apr 18, 2026 11.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Defensa
  • Maximiliano Gutiérrez 14' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Ávalos 15' yellowcard
  • Maximiliano Gutiérrez 29' goal
  • Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 68' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Montiel 75' yellowcard
  • Felipe Tempone 84' yellowcard
  • Felipe Tempone 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Millán 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Aarón Molinas 8'
  • yellowcard César Pérez 46'
  • yellowcard Éver Banega 71'
  • yellowcard Darío Cáceres 71'
  • yellowcard Agustín Hausch 71'
  • yellowcard David Fernández 85'

Independiente vs Defensa y Justicia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 11.30pm
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 13, 2026 8.30pm
Defensa 1 - 2 Talleres
Goals scored
17
Top scorer
Juan Gutierrez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.38% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.22%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Independiente 52.49%
Draw 25.38%
Defensa y Justicia 22.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.03%
Under 1.5 28.97%
Over 2.5 45.91%
Under 2.5 54.09%
Over 3.5 23.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 76.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.35% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Independiente 35.4%
Draw 46.85%
Defensa y Justicia 17.76%

Team To Score First

Independiente 59.31% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Defensa y Justicia 32.47%

Corners

Over 8 51.06%
Equal 8 12.62%
Under 8 36.31%
Over 9 38.85%
Equal 9 12.21%
Under 9 48.94%
Over 10.5 28.06%
Under 10.5 71.94%

Independiente Goals

Over 1.5 45.49%
Under 1.5 54.51%
Over 2.5 19.77%
Under 2.5 80.23%
Over 3.5 6.76%
Under 3.5 93.24%

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5 56.6%
Under 0.5 43.4%
Over 1.5 22.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.49% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Independiente 52.49%
Draw 25.38%
Defensa y Justicia 22.1%
Independiente
1-0 @ 13.46%
2-1 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.71%
Total : 52.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 8.22% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 25.38%
Defensa y Justicia
0-1 @ 7.26%
1-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26%
0-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.1%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Defensa
Jun 4, 2024 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente
  • Kevin Gutierrez 57' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutierrez 57' yellowcard
  • Aaron Molinas 64' yellowcard
  • Aaron Molinas 64' yellowcard
  • Dario Caceres 81' yellowcard
  • Dario Caceres 81' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Aguilera 86' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Neves 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 15'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 15'
  • goal Juan Manuel Fedorco 28'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Avalos 40'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Avalos 40'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 52'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 52'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 54'
  • yellowcard Damian Perez 54'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 90'+2'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Independiente
Feb 20, 2023 12.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Defensa
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 7'
  • goal Santiago Solari 33'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Defensa
Jul 20, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello
Independiente
  • Manuel Duarte 28' goal
  • Manuel Duarte 33' yellowcard
  • Kevin Gutierrez 51' yellowcard
  • Adonis Frias 64' goal
  • Kevin Gutierrez 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marcone 13'
  • yellowcard Lucas Romero 36'
  • yellowcard Lucas Rodriguez 62'
  • yellowcard Tomas Pozzo 64'
  • yellowcard Leandro Fernandez 72'
  • goal Alex Vigo 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Alex Vigo 90'+2'
Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Aug 21, 2021 1.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Defensa
  • Alan Velasco 29' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 29' yellowcard
  • Domingo Blanco 82' yellowcard
  • Domingo Blanco 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tripichio 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Contreras 26'
  • yellowcard Kevin Gutierrez 38'
  • yellowcard Hugo Silva 53'
  • yellowcard Alexis Soto 57'
  • yellowcard Braian Rivero 65'
Copa Diego Maradona
Independiente
Apr 18, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Defensa
  • Sergio Barreto 77' goal
  • Sebastian Palacios 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 18'
  • yellowcard Francisco Pizzini 47'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Escalante 90'+6'
Copa Diego Maradona Gameweek 2
Independiente
Dec 6, 2020 10.10pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Defensa
  • Alan Sonora 3' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 24' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Pacchini 83' yellowcard

Form Data

Boca Juniors 1 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 1 - 0 Racing
Independiente 1 - 2 Talleres
Instituto 2 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 4 - 4 Union
Independiente 2 - 0 C. Cordoba
Defensa 1 - 2 Talleres
Instituto 2 - 0 Defensa
Defensa 2 - 0 Union
San Lorenzo 2 - 5 Defensa
Defensa 1 - 1 C. Cordoba
Defensa 1 - 1 Lanus