Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 14
Boca Juniors
Apr 11, 2026 11.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
Independiente
  • Adam Bareiro 46' yellowcard
  • Miguel Merentiel  46' yellowcard
  • Milton Giménez  45'+11' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 68' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 69' yellowcard
  • Exequiel Zeballos 69' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ascacíbar 70' yellowcard
  • Milton Delgado 74' yellowcard
  • goal Matías Abaldo 9'
  • yellowcard Juan Fedorco 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernández Cedrés 83'
  • yellowcard Facundo Samuel Valdez 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Freire 83'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Freire 84'
  • yellowcard Felipe Tempone 90'

Boca Juniors vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 12.30am
Talleres 0 - 1 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Independiente

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 9.30pm
Independiente 1 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Gabriel Avalos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 29.19% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%) , while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 49.66%
Draw 29.19%
Independiente 21.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

38.28%

Goals

Over 1.5 60.42% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 33.39%
Under 2.5 66.61%
Over 3.5 14.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 85.66%
Over 4.5 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 92.95% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 34.75%
Draw 44.54%
Independiente 20.71%

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 53.35% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 13.39%
Independiente 33.26% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 42.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 8 12.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 44.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 31.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 57.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 10.5 22.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 77.39% ▲ (+0.02)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 36.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 13.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 49.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 50.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 16.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 83.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 95.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.91%
Under 3.5 99.09%

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 49.67%
Draw 29.2%
Independiente 21.12%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 17.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 49.67%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.39%
1-1 @ 12.58%
2-2 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 29.2%
Independiente
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22%
0-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.12%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division
Boca Juniors
May 20, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Independiente
  • Ayrton Costa 48' yellowcard
  • Ayrton Costa 48' yellowcard
  • Kevin Zenon 68' yellowcard
  • Kevin Zenon 68' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 81' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 46'
  • yellowcard Federico Vera 46'
  • goal Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 64'
  • goal Alvaro Anyiver Angulo Mosquera 64'
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 85'
  • yellowcard Matias Gimenez Rojas 85'
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 86'
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 86'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rey 88'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Rey 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
Dec 14, 2024 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Independiente
  • Milton Delgado 30' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Fernandez 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquin Laso 15'
  • yellowcard Felipe Loyola 81'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Independiente
Jul 29, 2023 9.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Libertadores de America
Boca Juniors
  • Brian Martinez 25' yellowcard
  • Cristian Baez 26' yellowcard
  • Baltasar Barcia 50' yellowcard
  • Ivan Marcone 65' yellowcard
  • Sergio Ortiz 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Fernandez 36'
  • yellowcard Miguel Merentiel 62'
  • goal Exequiel Zeballos 72'
  • goal Nicolas Valentini 77'
Club Friendlies 1
Boca Juniors
Jan 8, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio San Juan del Bicentenario
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 27
Boca Juniors
Oct 23, 2022 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Independiente
  • Guillermo Fernandez 34' goal
  • Sebastian Villa 49' goal
  • goal Leandro Fernandez 32'
  • goal Javier Vallejo 81'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 4
Independiente
Feb 27, 2022 12.30am
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Libertadores de América
Boca Juniors
  • Lucas Romero 20' yellowcard
  • Juan Manuel Insaurralde 22' yellowcard
  • Gaston Togni 31' goal
  • Carlos Benavidez 58' yellowcard
  • Alan Sonora 80' goal
  • yellowcard Frank Fabra 14'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 17'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 22'
  • goal Dario Benedetto 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Villa 45'+2'
  • redcard Frank Fabra 70'
  • yellowcard Exequiel Zeballos 90'+27'
  • yellowcard Luis Advincula 90'+28'

Form Data

Catolica 1 - 2 Boca Juniors
Talleres 0 - 1 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Instituto
Union 1 - 1 Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors 1 - 1 San Lorenzo
C. Cordoba 0 - 0 Boca Juniors
Independiente 1 - 0 Racing
Independiente 1 - 2 Talleres
Instituto 2 - 1 Independiente
Independiente 4 - 4 Union
San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Independiente
Independiente 2 - 0 C. Cordoba