Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw has a probability of 29.19% and a win for Independiente has a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.39%) , while for a Independiente win it is 0-1 (8.86%).