Copa Libertadores Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • Fernando Zuqui 46' yellowcard
  • Matias Palavecino 56' yellowcard
  • Juan Ignacio Díaz 83' goal
  • Jimmy Martínez 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Valencia 88' yellowcard
  • Diego Corral 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leandro Paredes 16'
  • goal Adam Bareiro 65'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 70'
  • yellowcard Juan Barinaga 76'
  • yellowcard Milton Giménez  76'
  • yellowcard Marco Pellegrino 90'+4'

Universidad Catolica vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Universidad Catolica 35.87% (-0.02)
Draw 26.53% (+0.02)
Boca Juniors 37.63% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.45% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27.55% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 46.92% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 53.08% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 25.09% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.91% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 13.75% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.25% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Universidad Catolica 32.91% (-0.08)
Draw 44.34%
Boca Juniors 22.75% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Universidad Catolica 52.32% (-0.26)
No Goal 8.2% (+0.02)
Boca Juniors 39.48% (+0.24)

Corners

Over 8 49.23% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 8 38.92% (-0.05)
Over 9 37.94% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.3%
Under 9 50.77% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 28.02% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 71.98% (-0.05)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 1.5 34.23% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 65.77% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.47% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 86.53% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.6% (+0.02)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 69.12% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 30.88% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 35.64% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.36% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.93% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.07% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.59% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.41% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 35.89%
Draw 26.53%
Boca Juniors 37.63%
Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 9.44% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.26% (-0.01)
Total : 35.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.2% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 26.53%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 9.96% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.89% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 37.63%