Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 (9.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.