Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 22, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Tomás Aranda 51' goal
  • Adam Bareiro 56' goal
  • Alan Velasco  71' yellowcard
  • Leandro Brey 82' yellowcard
  • Iker Zufiaurre 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Camilo Rey Domenech 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matías Tissera 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Guerra 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolás Guerra 69'
  • yellowcard Matías Tissera 69'
  • yellowcard Jeremías Lázaro 73'
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Rafaelli 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Rafaelli 87'
  • yellowcard Matías Gallardo 88'

Boca Juniors vs Instituto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 16, 2026 1.00am
Union 1 - 1 Boca Juniors
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Miguel Merentiel 

Instituto

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 1.15am
Instituto 2 - 1 Independiente
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Alex Luna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.14% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.84%) , while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 56.4% (-0.07)
Draw 27.14% (+0.08)
Instituto 16.49% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.3% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 60.83% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 39.17% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 34.02% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 65.98% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 15.03% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 84.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 8% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 92% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 38.26%
Draw 43.13%
Instituto 18.61%

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 57.79% (-0.03)
No Goal 12.84% (+0.04)
Instituto 29.37% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.91% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 40.13%
Over 9 36.64%
Equal 9 11.28%
Under 9 52.09% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 26.84%
Under 10.5 73.16%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 41.04% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 58.96% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 16.59% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.41% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.38% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.62% (+0.03)

Instituto Goals

Over 0.5 44.41% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 55.59% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 13.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 86.91% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 2.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 97.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.51% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.49% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 56.4%
Draw 27.16%
Instituto 16.49%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 18.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 12.68% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 5.37% (-0.02)
Total : 56.4%
Draw
0-0 @ 12.84% (+0.04)
1-1 @ 11.48% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 2.65% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.16%
Instituto
0-1 @ 7.64% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.5% (-0.02)
Total : 16.49%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Jul 29, 2024 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
  • <TBD> 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 16'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Blanco 16'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Di Lollo 35'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Di Lollo 35'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 8
Mar 19, 2023 10.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Martin Payero 45'+2' goal
  • Miguel Merentiel 85' goal
  • goal Joaquin Varela 12'
  • goal Emmanuel Martinez 19'
  • goal Santiago Rodriguez 46'