Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.