Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (9.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.