Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.57% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.