Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Deportivo Recoleta win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for San Lorenzo has a probability of 32.68% and a draw has a probability of 29.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Recoleta win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win is 0-1 (11.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.55%).

Result

Deportivo Recoleta 37.39% (+1.62)
Draw 29.94% (-0.95)
San Lorenzo 32.68% (-0.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.03% (+2.57)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.54% (+2.73)
Under 1.5 34.46% (-2.72)
Over 2.5 39.21% (+2.89)
Under 2.5 60.79% (-2.89)
Over 3.5 19.32% (+1.99)
Under 3.5 80.68% (-1.98)
Over 4.5 9.56% (+1.18)
Under 4.5 90.44% (-1.19)

First Half Winner

Deportivo Recoleta 30.65% (+2.47)
Draw 47.18% (-2.30)
San Lorenzo 22.17% (-0.17)

Team To Score First

Deportivo Recoleta 47.73% (+2.40)
No Goal 11.23% (-1.25)
San Lorenzo 41.04% (-1.17)

Corners

Over 8 44.66% (+1.10)
Equal 8 12.28% (-0.28)
Under 8 43.06% (-0.83)
Over 9 33.38% (+1.24)
Equal 9 11.29% (-0.13)
Under 9 55.34% (-1.10)
Over 10.5 23.84% (+1.22)
Under 10.5 76.16% (-1.22)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 1.5 32.02% (+2.64)
Under 1.5 67.98% (-2.63)
Over 2.5 11.5% (+1.47)
Under 2.5 88.5% (-1.46)
Over 3.5 3.36% (+0.57)
Under 3.5 96.64% (-0.57)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 63.9% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 36.1% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 28.32% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 71.68% (-0.96)
Over 2.5 9.23% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 90.77% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 2.49% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 97.51% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Deportivo Recoleta 37.39%
Draw 29.94%
San Lorenzo 32.68%
Deportivo Recoleta
1-0 @ 12.03% (-0.48)
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.47)
2-0 @ 6.87% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 3.01% (+0.32)
3-0 @ 2.77% (+0.32)
3-2 @ 1.69% (+0.23)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.59)
Total : 37.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.55% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 11.23% (-1.25)
2-2 @ 4.34% (+0.36)
Other @ 0.15% (-0.02)
Total : 29.94%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 11.21% (-1.02)
1-2 @ 7.16% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.24)
1-3 @ 2.41% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.16)
Other @ 2.34% (+0.19)
Total : 32.68%