Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 8, 2026 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Defensores del Chaco
  • Allan Wlk 13' goal
  • Junior Noguera 74' yellowcard
  • Hector López 74' yellowcard
  • Claudio Figueredo 82' yellowcard
  • Richard Ortiz 89' yellowcard
  • Ronal Domínguez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Auzmendi 17'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Abrego 46'
  • yellowcard M. de Ritis 57'
  • yellowcard Luciano Vietto 66'
  • yellowcard Facundo Gulli 66'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Perruzzi 79'

Deportivo Recoleta vs San Lorenzo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Recoleta win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Recoleta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (11.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood.

Result

Deportivo Recoleta 37.33% (-0.07)
Draw 29.95% (+0.01)
San Lorenzo 32.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.96% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.5% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 34.5% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 39.2% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 60.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 19.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.69% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.56%
Under 4.5 90.44%

First Half Winner

Deportivo Recoleta 30.84% (+0.20)
Draw 47.13% (-0.05)
San Lorenzo 22.03% (-0.15)

Team To Score First

Deportivo Recoleta 47.77% (+0.05)
No Goal 11.22% (-0.01)
San Lorenzo 41.01% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 44.16% (-0.50)
Equal 8 12.19% (-0.09)
Under 8 43.66% (+0.60)
Over 9 33% (-0.39)
Equal 9 11.16% (-0.13)
Under 9 55.84% (+0.50)
Over 10.5 23.6% (-0.24)
Under 10.5 76.4% (+0.25)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 1.5 31.99% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 68.01% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 11.48% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 88.52% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.35% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.65% (+0.02)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5 63.88% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 36.12% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 28.33% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.67% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 9.23%
Under 2.5 90.77%
Over 3.5 2.5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Deportivo Recoleta 37.34%
Draw 29.95%
San Lorenzo 32.67%
Deportivo Recoleta
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69%
Other @ 3.2% (-0.01)
Total : 37.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.55%
0-0 @ 11.22% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 29.95%
San Lorenzo
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.91% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.35% (+0.02)
Total : 32.67%