Copa Sudamericana
Mar 5, 2026 10.00pm
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Club Nacional vs Deportivo Recoleta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

All competitions

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Club Nacional win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw has a probability of 26.08% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta has a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it is 0-1 (8%).

Result

Club Nacional 47.87%
Draw 26.08% (-0.04)
Deportivo Recoleta 26.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.26% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.07% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.93% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 47.47%
Under 2.5 52.53%
Over 3.5 26% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 14.67% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 85.33% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Club Nacional 33.92%
Draw 45.02%
Deportivo Recoleta 21.05%

Team To Score First

Club Nacional 54.59% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.2% (-0.02)
Deportivo Recoleta 37.21%

Corners

Over 8 36.01%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 52.39%
Over 9 26.08%
Equal 9 9.93%
Under 9 63.99%
Over 10.5 18.21%
Under 10.5 81.79%

Club Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 43.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.49% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.47% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.08% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 92.92% (+0.02)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 60.11% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.89% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.29% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.71% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.77% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 91.23% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.56% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.44% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Club Nacional 47.86%
Draw 26.08%
Deportivo Recoleta 26.05%
Club Nacional
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 7% (-0.01)
Total : 47.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 26.08%
Deportivo Recoleta
0-1 @ 8%
1-2 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.48% (-0.02)
Total : 26.05%