Copa Sudamericana
Mar 5, 2026 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Arsenio Erico
  • Ignacio Bailone 9' yellowcard
  • Gaston Benitez 31' yellowcard
  • Josué Colmán 46' yellowcard
  • Richard Prieto 46' yellowcard
  • Hugo Adrián Benítez 79' yellowcard
  • I. Valdez 85' goal
  • goal Kevin Parzajuk 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Aldo González 70'
  • yellowcard Kevin Parzajuk 70'
  • yellowcard Hector López 70'
  • yellowcard Brahian Ferreira 70'
  • yellowcard Iván Piris 70'
  • yellowcard Iván Piris 71'
  • yellowcard Claudio Figueredo 81'
  • yellowcard Nelson Ferreira 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Óscar Toledo 90'+4'

Club Nacional vs Deportivo Recoleta - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

All competitions

Deportivo Recoleta

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 47.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.11% and a win for Deportivo Recoleta had a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%) , while for a Deportivo Recoleta win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Club Nacional 47.83% (-0.04)
Draw 26.11% (+0.04)
Deportivo Recoleta 26.09% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.26%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 27.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 47.48% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.52% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.05% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 73.95% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 14.71% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 85.29% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Club Nacional 33.92%
Draw 45.02%
Deportivo Recoleta 21.05%

Team To Score First

Club Nacional 54.59%
No Goal 8.2%
Deportivo Recoleta 37.21%

Corners

Over 8 36.02% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 52.38% (-0.01)
Over 9 26.1% (+0.03)
Equal 9 9.93%
Under 9 63.98% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 18.23% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 81.77% (-0.03)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 43.52% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.48% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 19.47%
Under 2.5 80.53%
Over 3.5 7.09% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.91% (-0.02)

Deportivo Recoleta Goals

Over 0.5 60.17% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 39.83% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 26.35% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 73.65% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 8.81% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 91.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.58% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.42% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Club Nacional 47.83%
Draw 26.11%
Deportivo Recoleta 26.09%
Club Nacional
1-0 @ 11.72%
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46%
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 7%
Total : 47.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.01)
Total : 26.11%
Deportivo Recoleta
0-1 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-2 @ 3.97% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.49% (+0.02)
Total : 26.09%