Copa Libertadores
-
Gustavo Caballero
8'
-
Gustavo Caballero
8'
-
Gustavo Caballero
25'
-
Gustavo Caballero
25'
-
Leandro Meza
59'
-
Leandro Meza
59'
-
Jose Guerrero
12'
-
Jose Guerrero
12'
-
Erick Castillo
75'
-
Erick Castillo
75'
-
Hernan Barcos
90'+9'
-
Hernan Barcos
90'+9'
-
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
90'+10'
-
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
90'+10'
Club Nacional vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.5%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result
Club Nacional
28.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
27.95%
▲
(+0.03)
Alianza Lima
43.5%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
45.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.4%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
59.6%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
20.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
79.94%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
8.38%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
91.63%
▲
(+0.03)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
63.15%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
36.86%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
26.36%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
73.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
72.8%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
27.21%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
37.38%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
62.62%
▲
(+0.10)
Score analysis
Club Nacional
28.55%
Draw
27.94%
Alianza Lima
43.49%
Club Nacional
1-0
@
10%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 28.55%
2-1 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 28.55%
Draw
1-1
@
13.02%
0-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.94%
0-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.94%
Alianza Lima
0-1
@
13.05%
0-2 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 43.49%
0-2 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.68% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 43.49%