Copa Libertadores
-
Kevin Quevedo
11'
-
Kevin Quevedo
11'
-
Hernan Barcos
50'
-
Hernan Barcos
50'
-
Kevin Quevedo
55'
-
Kevin Quevedo
55'
-
Ricardo Lagos
86'
-
Ricardo Lagos
86'
-
Jose Guerrero
87'
-
Jose Guerrero
87'
-
Orlando Gaona Lugo
15'
-
Orlando Gaona Lugo
15'
-
Leandro Meza
69'
-
Leandro Meza
69'
-
Carlos Arrua
84'
-
Carlos Arrua
84'
-
Gaston Kevin Benitez Ibarra
89'
-
Gaston Kevin Benitez Ibarra
89'
Alianza Lima vs Club Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 11.27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.98%) and 3-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alianza Lima would win this match.
Result
Alianza Lima
67.12%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
21.61%
▲
(+0.08)
Club Nacional
11.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
36.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.86%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 2.5
57.14%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 3.5
21.99%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 3.5
78.01%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 4.5
9.51%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
90.49%
▲
(+0.07)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
83.66%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
16.34%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
54.06%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 1.5
45.94%
▲
(+0.17)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
44.12%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
55.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
11.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
88.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Alianza Lima
67.12%
Draw
21.61%
Club Nacional
11.27%
Alianza Lima
1-0
@
16.54%
▲
(+0.04)
2-0 @ 14.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 67.12%
2-0 @ 14.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.05% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.1% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 67.12%
Draw
1-1
@
9.63%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.61%
0-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.61%
Club Nacional
0-1
@
5.31%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 11.27%
1-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 11.27%
Head to Head
Copa Libertadores
-
Gustavo Caballero
8'
-
Gustavo Caballero
8'
-
Gustavo Caballero
25'
-
Gustavo Caballero
25'
-
Leandro Meza
59'
-
Leandro Meza
59'
-
Jose Guerrero
12'
-
Jose Guerrero
12'
-
Erick Castillo
75'
-
Erick Castillo
75'
-
Hernan Barcos
90'+9'
-
Hernan Barcos
90'+9'
-
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
90'+10'
-
Erick Carlos Noriega Loret de Mola
90'+10'