Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.62%. A draw had a probability of 31.35% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.88%) , while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 1-0 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.