Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 30.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.