Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Mar 21, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
  • David Sotelo 69' yellowcard
  • Luciano Herrera 69' yellowcard
  • Michael Hoyos 69' yellowcard
  • Michael Hoyos 70' yellowcard
  • Oscar Salomón  81' yellowcard
  • Walter Mazzantti 85' goal
  • Martín Luciano 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Cortez 46'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Octavio Barboza 46'
  • yellowcard Matías Recalde 55'
  • yellowcard Luciano Cingolani 74'
  • yellowcard Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 82'

Newell's Old Boys vs Gimnasia Mendoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 17, 2026 10.00pm
Lanus 5 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Walter Nunez

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Mar 18, 2026 12.15am
Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 2 Estudiantes
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia Mendoza win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 30.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia Mendoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 (11.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Newell's Old Boys 31.76%
Draw 30.44% (-0.03)
Gimnasia Mendoza 37.8% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.26% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 62.05% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 37.95% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 35.51% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 64.49% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 16.51% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 83.49% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 7.96% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 92.04% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Newell's Old Boys 26.18%
Draw 48.35%
Gimnasia Mendoza 25.46%

Team To Score First

Newell's Old Boys 44.25% (+0.03)
No Goal 12.76% (-0.03)
Gimnasia Mendoza 42.99% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 48.36%
Equal 8 12.29%
Under 8 39.34%
Over 9 36.74%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 51.64%
Over 10.5 26.66%
Under 10.5 73.34%

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 1.5 25.47% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 74.53% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.7% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.92% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.08% (-0.02)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 0.5 65.56% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 34.44% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 70.02% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.29% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 89.71% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.95% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.05% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Newell's Old Boys 31.77%
Draw 30.45%
Gimnasia Mendoza 37.79%
Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 11.94% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.74% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.87%
3-1 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.97%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.91% (+0.02)
Total : 31.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.76% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.75% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 30.45%
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1 @ 13.26%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.78%
1-3 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.94% (+0.03)
Total : 37.79%