Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 3
Apr 28, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Pedro Bidegaín

San Lorenzo vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 17, 2026 1.30am
San Lorenzo 2 - 0 Cuenca

Santos

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 15, 2026 1.30am
Santos 1 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 42.07%. A draw has a probability of 29.2% and a win for Santos has a probability of 28.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.62%) , while for a Santos win it is 0-1 (9.81%).

Result

San Lorenzo 42.07% (-0.33)
Draw 29.2% (+0.58)
Santos 28.73% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.17%

Goals

Over 1.5 66.97% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 33.03% (-0.50)
Over 2.5 40.22% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 59.78% (-0.29)
Over 3.5 19.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.92% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 90.08% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

San Lorenzo 30.79% (-0.86)
Draw 47.8% (+0.02)
Santos 21.41% (+0.84)

Team To Score First

San Lorenzo 52.73% (+1.02)
No Goal 10.29% (+0.04)
Santos 36.98% (-1.07)

Corners

Over 8 53.48% (-2.18)
Equal 8 12.21% (-0.09)
Under 8 34.31% (+2.27)
Over 9 41.44% (-1.86)
Equal 9 12.04% (-0.32)
Under 9 46.52% (+2.18)
Over 10.5 30.58% (-1.43)
Under 10.5 69.42% (+1.44)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 1.5 35.88% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 64.12% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 13.27% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.73% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.12%
Under 3.5 95.88%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 61.09% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 38.91% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 25.8% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 74.2% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 8.19% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 91.81% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.17% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.83% (-0.04)

Score analysis

San Lorenzo 42.09%
Draw 29.21%
Santos 28.72%
San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.95% (-0.34)
2-1 @ 8.5% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.27% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 3.45% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.97% (-0.07)
Total : 42.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.62% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 10.29% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.4% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.07)
Total : 29.21%
Santos
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 6.77% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.78% (+0.08)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.02% (-0.05)
Total : 28.72%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 14, 2021 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alison 20' yellowcard
  • Marcos Leonardo 22' goal
  • Marcos Leonardo 22' yellowcard
  • Joao Paulo 45' yellowcard
  • Luan Peres 50' yellowcard
  • Para 57' goal
  • Marinho 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gino Peruzzi 3'
  • yellowcard Franco Di Santo 24'
  • redcard Gabriel Rojas 51'
  • goal Franco Di Santo 59'
  • yellowcard Diego Rodriguez 64'
  • goal Angel Romero 78'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 7, 2021 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Diego Rodriguez 37' yellowcard
  • Angel Romero 72' goal
  • goal Lucas Braga 7'
  • goal Marinho 45'+1'
  • goal Angelo Gabriel Borges Damaceno 90'+4'
  • goal Angelo Gabriel Borges Damaceno 90'+5'