Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Cuenca win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Santos had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Cuenca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.