Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.09% and a win for Santos had a probability of 11.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.62%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.