Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Zé Ivaldo 64' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  65' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paquetá 65' yellowcard
  • Jorginho 71' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Plata 81' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 82' yellowcard
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paquetá 89' goal
  • goal Lautaro Díaz 48'
  • yellowcard Moisés 72'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 72'
  • yellowcard Willian Arão 72'
  • yellowcard Benjamín Rollheiser 82'
  • yellowcard Zé Rafael  90'+6'

Flamengo vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 3, 2026 1.30am
Bragantino 3 - 0 Flamengo
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Pedro

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2026 11.00pm
Santos 2 - 0 Remo
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Alvaro Barreal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 68.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.09% and a win for Santos had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.62%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%) , while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 68.52% (+0.07)
Draw 20.09%
Santos 11.38% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.72% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.51% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 25.49% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 50.19% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 49.81% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 28.13% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.87% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 18.36% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.64% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 46.53%
Draw 37.44%
Santos 16.03%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 67.82% (-0.06)
No Goal 7.15% (+0.08)
Santos 25.03% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.83% (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.65%
Under 8 23.52% (+0.15)
Over 9 54.24% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.59% (-0.01)
Under 9 34.17% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 42.72% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 57.28% (+0.11)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 59.06% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 40.94% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 31.7% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 68.3% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 14.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 85.75% (+0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 42.08% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 57.92% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 13.12% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 86.88% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 3.06% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 96.94% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 0.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.38% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 68.53%
Draw 20.08%
Santos 11.38%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 14.06% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 13.62% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 14.2% (+0.01)
Total : 68.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.14% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.15% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 20.08%
Santos
0-1 @ 4.27% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 1.55% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.57% (+0.01)
Total : 11.38%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Nov 9, 2025 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Jul 17, 2025 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 1, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 21' goal
  • Gerson 42' redcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 50' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 90'+5' redcard
  • Bruno Henrique 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Nonato 33'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Fernandez 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Braga 75'
  • goal Joaquim 89'
  • redcard Lucas Braga 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 10.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Stiven Mendoza 40' goal
  • Rodrigo Fernandez 52' goal
  • goal Everton 22'
  • goal Everton Ribeiro 50'
  • goal Erick Pulgar 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Oct 26, 2022 1.45am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pedro 45'+5' goal
  • Marinho 79' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 87' goal
  • goal Alex 53'
  • goal Gabriel Carabajal 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Felipe Jonatan 24' yellowcard
  • Angelo Gabriel 43' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Camacho 55' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 66' goal
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 70' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro 18'
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 63'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Barbosa 70'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 73'