Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 5' goal
  • Samuel Lino 65' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 74' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Varela 74' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araújo 89' yellowcard
  • Wallace Yan 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Carrascal 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco da Costa 60'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 62'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 76'
  • yellowcard Wanderson 78'
  • yellowcard Keny Arroyo 86'
  • yellowcard Japa 86'

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Flamengo 0 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Pedro

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Flamengo 51.09% (-0.04)
Draw 24.9% (-0.08)
Cruzeiro 23.97% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.36% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.38% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 25.62% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 49.83% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 50.17% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 28.37% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 71.63% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 15.94% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 84.06% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 36.42%
Draw 41.1%
Cruzeiro 22.47%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 55.63% (+0.06)
No Goal 7.04% (-0.09)
Cruzeiro 37.33% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.68%
Equal 8 11.44%
Under 8 30.88%
Over 9 46.02% (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 42.32%
Over 10.5 35.13% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 64.87% (+0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 47.52% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 52.48% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 21.74% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 78.26% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 8.18% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 91.82% (-0.06)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 59.55% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 40.45% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 25.92% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 74.08% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 8.48% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.52% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 2.27% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.73% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Flamengo 51.11%
Draw 24.91%
Cruzeiro 23.97%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.6% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.78% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.06% (+0.05)
Total : 51.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 24.91%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.89% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.15% (+0.03)
Total : 23.97%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 17' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 22' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 26'
  • goal Matheus Pereira 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 64'
  • yellowcard William 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Helibelton Palacios 38' yellowcard
  • Wesley 68' yellowcard
  • Wesley 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 3'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 39'
  • goal Pedro 44'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 78'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Ayrton Lucas 33' goal
  • goal Marlon 5'