Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Mar 12, 2026 12.30am
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 12.00am
Flamengo 0 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Gonzalo Plata

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2026 11.00pm
Cruzeiro 1 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Matheus Pereira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw has a probability of 24.93% and a win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Cruzeiro win it is 0-1 (7.01%).

Result

Flamengo 50.79% (-0.11)
Draw 24.93%
Cruzeiro 24.27% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.49% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.44% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 25.56% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 49.9% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 50.1% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 28.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.93% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.07% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 36.42%
Draw 41.1%
Cruzeiro 22.47%

Team To Score First

Flamengo 55.63%
No Goal 7.03% (-0.01)
Cruzeiro 37.34% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.69%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 30.86%
Over 9 46.03%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 42.31%
Over 10.5 35.13%
Under 10.5 64.87%

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 47.31% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 52.69% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 21.58% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 78.42% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.1% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.9% (+0.03)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 59.86% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 40.14% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 26.19% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 73.81% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 8.61% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.39% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 2.31% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.69% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 50.8%
Draw 24.94%
Cruzeiro 24.27%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.77%
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 7.99% (-0.02)
Total : 50.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.96% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.2% (+0.02)
Total : 24.27%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Oct 3, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Kaio Jorge 15' goal
  • Lucas Romero 39' yellowcard
  • Christian 61' yellowcard
  • Lucas Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Barbosa 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giorgian De Arrascaeta 44'
  • yellowcard Nicolas de la Cruz 74'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 7, 2024 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Marlon 51' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • Lucas Villalba 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Plata 24'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • goal David Luiz 53'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 62'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 69'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 80'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Alex Sandro 86'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 87'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
  • redcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Pedro 17' goal
  • Luiz Araujo 22' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 65' goal
  • yellowcard Kaiki Bruno 26'
  • goal Matheus Pereira 38'
  • yellowcard Joao Marcelo 64'
  • yellowcard William 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 19, 2023 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Helibelton Palacios 38' yellowcard
  • Wesley 68' yellowcard
  • Wesley 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Maia 3'
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 39'
  • goal Pedro 44'
  • yellowcard Agustin Rossi 78'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Ayrton Lucas 33' goal
  • goal Marlon 5'