Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Jan 30, 2026 12.30am
Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo vs Cruzeiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Botafogo 4 - 2 Fortaleza

Cruzeiro

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
Santos 3 - 0 Cruzeiro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Cruzeiro has a probability of 28.81% and a draw has a probability of 26.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win is 0-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Botafogo 44.27%
Draw 26.92%
Cruzeiro 28.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.69%
Under 1.5 27.31%
Over 2.5 47.9%
Under 2.5 52.1%
Over 3.5 25.56%
Under 3.5 74.44%
Over 4.5 13.58%
Under 4.5 86.42%

First Half Winner

Botafogo 35.17%
Draw 44.08%
Cruzeiro 20.75%

Team To Score First

Botafogo 52.02%
No Goal 7.92%
Cruzeiro 40.06%

Corners

Over 8 58.72%
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 29.85%
Over 9 47%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 41.28%
Over 10.5 35.98%
Under 10.5 64.02%

Botafogo Goals

Over 1.5 41.54%
Under 1.5 58.46%
Over 2.5 16.86%
Under 2.5 83.14%
Over 3.5 5.54%
Under 3.5 94.46%

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5 63.65%
Under 0.5 36.35%
Over 1.5 29.94%
Under 1.5 70.06%
Over 2.5 10.04%
Under 2.5 89.96%
Over 3.5 2.63%
Under 3.5 97.37%

Score analysis

Botafogo 44.28%
Draw 26.91%
Cruzeiro 28.81%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 11.38%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.39%
Total : 44.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.91%
Cruzeiro
0-1 @ 8.01%
1-2 @ 7.42%
0-2 @ 4.53%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.01%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 28.81%

Head to Head

Brasileiro
Dec 4, 2025 10.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Christian 15' goal
  • Matheus Pereira 50' goal
  • Lucas Silva 54' yellowcard
  • Cassio Ramos 67' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando Marcal 57'
  • yellowcard Jordán Andrés Barrera Herrera 65'
  • yellowcard Allan 70'
  • yellowcard Allan 72'
  • goal Alex Telles 90'+5'
  • redcard David Loiola 90'+12'
  • redcard David Loiola 90'+13'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Jul 28, 2024 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Fernando Marcal 4' yellowcard
  • Fernando Marcal 4' yellowcard
  • Allan 74' yellowcard
  • Allan 74' yellowcard
  • goal William 13'
  • goal Lucas Halter 14'
  • yellowcard William 31'
  • yellowcard William 31'
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 37'
  • goal Lautaro Diaz 37'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Henrique 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Cassio Ramos 72'
  • yellowcard Cassio Ramos 72'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 77'
  • goal Alvaro Barreal 77'
  • yellowcard Marlon 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marlon 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 9.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Lucas Silva 20' goal
  • Arthur 31' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 36' yellowcard
  • Rafael Silva 64' goal
  • Rafael Silva 66' yellowcard
  • Rafael Elias 90'+1' goal
  • Rafael Elias 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Tiquinho 5'
  • yellowcard Gregore 27'
  • yellowcard Junior Santos 36'
  • redcard Alexander Barboza 72'
  • goal Barbosa da Silva 83'
  • yellowcard Barbosa da Silva 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nilton Santos
  • Barbosa da Silva 32' yellowcard
  • Gabriel 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Adryelson 47' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Helibelton Palacios 21'
  • yellowcard Neris 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Luciano Castan 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 6, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Luciano Castan 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiquinho 38'
  • yellowcard Fernando Marcal 56'