Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 0-1 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%).